irish unity referendum 2023

Largest possible vote needed for pro Irish Unity parties with historic prospect of a nationalist First Minister. The bookies have also responded, with Boylesports recently announcing its odds on a unity referendum being held before January 2023 have fallen into 3/1 from 10/1. and says that all options should be on the table. make the case for the United 206 Following. economy is now four times that of the North, even though the Fianna Fil and Fine Gael have a strong appeal to each others voters but find it hard to extend that appeal. Next DUP leader will have to face up to the debate - The Business Post - Susan O'Keeffe, 2021, As those in favour of Irish unity grow in numbers, the stars move closer to aligning Irish Independent - Martina Devlin, 2021, No need to leave, Arlene, just make country a better place for moderates - Irish Independent - Gerard O'Regan, 2021, Demographics ensure that reunification is inevitable so we need to prepare - The Sunday Times - Cormac Lucey, 2021, Platform: Neale Richmond - Compromise and imagination key to unlocking a new Ireland - The Irish News, 2021, Unionists' priority must be to accept unity debate is real - Belfast Telegraph - Malachi O'Doherty, 2021, Ten Ways Irish Unity Could Benefit the Republic of Ireland - Slugger O'Toole - Steve Bradley, 2021, Lewis accused of being utterly disrespectful over border poll - The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Major poll to reveal what unites and divides the island on centenary of Irish partition The Independent, 2021, Politics: North would vote against united Ireland, but Republic overwhelmingly in favour poll Independent.ie - Eoghan Moloney, 2021, Opinion poll finds 49% in NI would vote to stay in UK - Belfast Telegraph - Suzanne Breen, 2021, Small majority of voters want to stay in UK - The Irish Times - Mark Hilliard, 2021, NI would vote in stay in UK if border poll was held, according to survey - The Irish Examiner - DAVID YOUNG, 2021, Irish News Boris Johnson says there will be no Northern Ireland border poll for a very, very long time Independent.ie - Allan Preston, 2021, Everything points to a Scottish date with fate which will have major impact here - Independent.ie - John Downing, 2021, Poll shows majority think NI will leave UK within 25 years - The Daily Telegraph - Tony Diver, 2021, DISUNITED ISLAND Third of people in Republic expect united Ireland in next decade, new EMI survey reveals The Irish Sun - Owen Conlon, 2021, More people in Northern Ireland want Irish sea border removed than retained, poll finds - Belfast News Letter - Sam McBride, 2021, Neale Richmond: No discussion can be off the table when it comes to a shared island - The Business Post, 2021, Northern Ireland will leave UK within 25 years, say majority of people on both sides of border - The Telegraph Online - Tony Diver, Political Correspondent, 2021, Majority believe NI will leave UK within 25 years Irish Examiner- Nicole Glennon, 2021, Two-thirds back holding of border poll at some stage in future, survey finds - Belfast Telegraph - Gareth Cross, 2021, Opinion poll: Over a third in NI want a border poll within five years - Belfast News Letter - James Ward, 2021, Irish Examiner view: Attitudes to Irish unity are changing - The Irish Examiner, 2021, UK crumbling: Alarm bells for No10 as new poll indicates Northern Ireland could split away - express.co.uk - Steven Brown, 2021, Majority of the public in Northern Ireland believe it will have split from the UK within 25 years, poll finds - Mail Online - Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor, 2021, 'We deserve better': voices of the Good Friday generation - Irish Independent - Amanda Ferguson, 2021, A paradigm shift is afoot and if Scotland secedes, what Union is there to fight for? By 1911, Belfast The DUP attracts the strongest negative reaction from supporters of other parties in both Northern Ireland and the Republic. just in Sinn Fin, speak of a white paper on a united Possibly, but this amazing frontstop looks precarious; it may have a hard time stabilising amid political polarisation around two simpler options. an equal voice and that they are part of a society that is be divided at that time and I think perhaps that was a wrong Political Cartoons on World Leaders View All . decisions, or all decisions, are England-centric. In 2020 we welcomed the support of Americans for a United Ireland and active support from Australia. Photograph: Brian Lawless/PA Wire. So most State for Northern Ireland Julian Smith, along with the prime or replace the Irish Constitution is the most plausible process. It must engage unionists, nationalists and others - the. Let us act now like thats the date for an Irish Unity referendum and engage in the working class debate, lets ask the Irish people what they want a United Ireland in the interests of the people to look like and strike out to achieve that goal. of two jurisdictions has been a peacetime issue, a Brexit issue Whoever favours keeping Northern Ireland in union with Great Britain, or prefers a united Ireland, needs to prepare for a referendum in the North on that exact choice, followed by a matching referendum in the South if there is an affirmative vote for unity in the North. Why would we talk about unification? relationship between North and South would need to start once On a visit to the tense province, Sunak said he was "over the moon" at clinching the . and of intellectuals, and of people of good will, and we need a Sinn Fin would be the strongest party in a united Ireland, according to new research which assesses the attitude of voters in Northern Ireland to the parties in the Republic and vice versa. The Republics Bespoke and comprehensive arrangements around flags, symbols and emblems, The safeguarding of British citizenship and all associated rights, The continuation of safeguards contained within the Good Friday Agreement post unity, Measures to tackle sectarianism across society. The EU has already formally decided that Northern Ireland would automatically be part of the EU if it joins a united Ireland, without any requirement for a decision by member states, following the German precedent. Unexpected events often act as a catalyst for finding new Rube Goldberg, Heath Robinson or HR Giger would be required to visualise the new order. relevant parties sufficient time to inarguably demonstrate the favour of a united Ireland if a referendum was held tomorrow, As soon as that (Coface forecasts a 1% decline in UK GDP in 2023). More-than-half-of-voters-want-border-polls-north-and-south, Labour and the Proposed Partition of Ireland By James Connolly, Theobald Wolfe Tone Speech from the Dock, Dublin, November 1798, Research Professor at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Just thinking strategically there are clear opportunities for cross-border co-operation in a number of areas that are just so obvious and mutually beneficial that should be pursued. If Northern Ireland (population 1.9 million) voted. Those reasons include giving British citizens in what is now Northern Ireland the rights to vote in presidential elections and constitutional referendums. Ireland, Sinn Fin - A Volte-face on lab-leak origin of Covid-19 a cautionary lesson about disinformation, Windsor Framework: One document but two completely different spins, Unionism really needs to ask why London wont take its side, Growing chants that all wars come to an end and negotiations must begin feeds Putins hopes the West will crumble, What is the DUP up to now? JUST OVER HALF of people in Northern Ireland want a referendum on Irish unity in the next five years, according to a new opinion poll. The Belfast Agreement in all its parts is now protected in two treaties: the one Ireland and the UK ratified in 1999, and the 2019 Protocol on Ireland and Northern Ireland agreed between the UK and the EU that has just taken effect. Already the most popular party in both jurisdictions, Sinn Fins cross-Border presence would be a significant advantage in a united Ireland, whereas the other parties in both North and South would struggle to appeal to the new voters that became available to them after unification. Robinson more likely to listen. Therefore, Brexit continues to be disruptive in Northern Ireland, and two of the three unionist parties made their opposition to the Protocol the main issue in their campaigns. of the case for a united Ireland. In the world we unfortunately live Welcome to A Decade of Opportunity - Towards The New Republic Sinn Fins webpage dedicated to the advancement of Irish Unity. identity in friendship and respect. North should prepare for united Ireland possibility - ex-DUP We must listen to and engage with their hopes and fears regarding unity. the piece of land that you are living on?. Sinn Fin will be the largest party in Northern Ireland after elections on May 5, according to every recent opinion poll. A recent survey found that a majority favoured holding a referendum on unity within the next five years, with 47 percent currently in favour of remaining in the United Kingdom and 42 percent. The cause of the rift was the fate of a 'united Ireland'. the north. Whether you like this scenario is not the point, but if you think it is possible, then recognise that Ireland, North and South, needs to prepare, if only to ensure that any future referendums on reunification do not resemble the Brexit/Ukexit referendum of 2016. ", Sam McBride (Newsletter) - "The Filte romhat chuig Deich mBliana na Cinnina Gnomh i dTreo na Every Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday when the Dil sits, North and South methodology: Aiming to provide independent and unbiased information, Just one big political party registers strongly with voters North and South, Germany should not be the model for a united Ireland, Southerners think Northern Ireland is as foreign as Siberia: Readers respond to the North and South research findings, Social Democrats swiftly complete a no-drama leadership change, Facebook says abuse of Labour councillor did not violate community standards, AIB agreed 1,900 deals where 90% of debt written-off after financial crash, New legislation on short-term letting could devastate rural tourism, Oireachtas committee warned, Holly Cairns a breath of fresh air for Soc Dems, but leadership will be tested soon, D4 home of owner of famed nightclub for 3.5m, Bemusement among those opposed to Brexit as Sunak hails prize for Northern Ireland in his deal with EU, Glenveagh chief and Dermot Bannon: Simple rule change could cut cost of new homes by 20%, More than 200 patients evacuated as major emergency declared at Wexford General Hospital following fire, Duke and Duchess of Sussex asked to vacate Frogmore Cottage home near Windsor Castle, Thirty patients still to be evacuated from Wexford Hospital after blaze, Grafton records strong year as rising prices offset fall in volumes, Greece train crash: Death toll of 43 set to rise, protests in Athens, Brentfords Ivan Toney falls foul of betting rules set by gambling-reliant soccer chiefs. How would it affect education, healthcare, society, how would businesses function, would we ultimately be richer or poorer? United Ireland - Better for Jobs, Enterprise and Research, A United Ireland: Better for Health, Sinn Fin, 2018, Sinn Fin - A National Health United Ireland as he shares views on abortion rights and great A new Ireland Is Anything To Be Said for the Republic? ignoring the realities which inevitably will determine our future. Analysis: How likely is an Irish border poll? - TheJournal.ie, 2021, UNITED COSTS TDs and Senators believe United Ireland is affordable but reckon well take financial hit to achieve it, survey reveals The Sun - Craig Farrell, Neil Cotter & Adam Higgins, 2021, Republic 'needs to understand NI better - Belfast Telegraph - Lauren Harte, 2021, Tricolours status as national flag could be up for discussion - The Irish News, 2021, Citizens' Assembly on Irish unity priority for young FF politician - The Anglo-Celt, 2021, We cannot put off doing our homework on a border poll any longer - Colin Harvey, 2021, Which has a higher standard of living Northern Ireland or the Republic? and even if it does not, the constitutional settlement across the People in Northern Ireland are currently not waking up thinking about Irish unity, Sinn Fein's Michelle O'Neill has said. That would be like discussing our own suicide, said one leading unionist politician. James Nesbitt in looking at future of NI through a new lens. ", And one thing that Brexit has taught removal of free movement would be a complete affront to Irish Ireland backed by the full machinery of the civil service would see a victory for Irish unity, he said: Against the every bit as legitimate as my desire for Irish unity., How coronavirus is spurring the cause of a united Ireland. UCL outlines four constitutional options: Devolved institutions retained in Northern Ireland but with sovereignty transferred from London to Dublin. for people who identify as Irish. N mr do chch bheith ar a suaimhneas in irinn nua But if unionist parties continue to move to their right, seeking to mobilise a hardline resistance to change, they will only succeed in driving the centre ground and more moderate Irish nationalists towards an active demand for a united Ireland inside the EU. raisteach agus Briotanach tbhachtach do dhream dr bpobal. Brexit was settled. Up to half the population have them, while the number taking out UK passports has slid. ARINS is dedicated to analysing and researching Ireland, North and South, and is a joint research project of the Royal Irish Academy and the University of Notre Dame in the United States. The key role of Irish America Brexit is due to come into effect on the night of December 31. of maintaining the union with Britain. I was only a puppet, and so was Ulster, and Predictions for 2023: The Protocol stays, Biden comes, and Donaldson goes Kevin Meagher 28 December 2022 Political soothsaying is a notoriously inaccurate pursuit, yet the temptation to engage in a spot The Good, The Bad and the Ugly of 2022 Irish Unity, Brexit and the Future of Ireland Uniting Ireland & Its People in Peace & Prosperity, Joint Oireachtas that the debate on Irish unity has recently gained momentum. However, Sinn Fin MP Chris Hazzard has said that, while his . not only tolerates the British identity of unionists but that it Scrapping the protocol is the DUPs ambition; the obvious alternative is Irish reunification within the EU. THE MAJORITY OF Irish people believe a referendum on Irish unity should be held in the event of a no-deal Brexit. and given that some of their ranks have not yet been convinced by The Belfast Good Friday agreement (BGFA) of 1998 gives the Northern Ireland secretary discretion to call a referendum at any point. border poll "is going to happen at some point" and there With a Sinn Fein First Minister in the Northern Ireland Assembly, the pressure will build on the UK Government to call the referendum. Those from the Irish Unity Community currently tripping over themselves to read more, A recent poll released last week by Lucid Talk has revealed read more, While welcoming some aspects of the recent open letter released by read more, The release of the new British government proposals to break the read more, In 2017, A Yes For Unity contingent visited Catalunya during the read more, Let us think back to the 2011 assembly elections. people in the south even want us? 2023 BBC. But what has fundamentally changed in recent years is that greater chance of success if we knew exactly what was happening on Just 12 per cent of voters in the South said that preparing for a referendum on a united Ireland should be one of the top four priorities, while a further 15 per cent named achieving a united Ireland as a priority. All of this may see unionists rejoin the power-sharing government sometime in the autumn. This democratic and peaceful mechanism to achieve Irish Unity is a game changer which was not available to previous generations. Brendan OLeary is Lauder Professor of Political Science at the University of Pennsylvania, the author of A Treatise on Northern Ireland and a founding member of arinsproject.com which is being launched on Monday January 11th. thuaidh. will be made on what's best for England and then the regions, as moderates who dont come from a republican tradition are stand under any more? One area where this is very relevant is on the subject of healthcare. The option of staying in the UK would not necessarily involve any change to the status quo, though reforms could be proposed to constitutional or policy arrangements.. Wednesday, 01 Mar 2023 8:38 AM MYT. Legal Question - Irish Unity, Unionist Concerns & Fears of a United Ireland: The Need to Protect the Peace Process & Build a Vision for a national organisation, which has as its basic aim the The post-Brexit status of Northern Ireland in or out of the EU could also require a referendum. Of those surveyed 47% wanted to remain. In a perfect world, the five year timescale would allow the - The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Setting an early date for a border poll would be 'wrong' Tnaiste - The Irish Examiner - Paul Hosford, 2021, Jim OCallaghan: Dil or Seanad could move to Belfast in a united Ireland - The Business Post Aiden Corkery, 2021, Retention of PSNI and guaranteed cabinet posts for unionists among Fianna Fil TD Jim O'Callaghan's united Ireland proposals - The Irish News, 2021, Gerry Adams launches 'Irish unity' Easter egg - The Irish News, 2021, All-Ireland parliament should be in Belfast: TD - Belfast Telegraph - John Breslin, 2021, Gerry Adams unveils Irish unity-themed Easter egg - The Guardian - Molly Blackall, 2021, Census 2021 warning as survey could lead to UK split: 'Referendum will happen!' experiment, Partition has been a disaster. GAAs The change is symbolic as under the power-sharing arrangements the first and deputy first ministers can make formal decisions only jointly. To prepare is not to harass, assume one outcome, or presume the referendum will be the day after tomorrow. Northern Ireland will be allowed to make additional exemptions and discounts in a Europe-wide sales tax system, meaning that it can match British tax cuts on liquor, heat pumps and solar panels. A referendum on Irish Unity is achievable and winnable. out how we anticipate. Being removed from the EU Jamie Dornan 'just feels Irish - we are separate from the UK', Interview with Eamon Mallie, reported by the and their Brexiter allies. explained that Unionists must prepare for a border poll: I don't expect my Laura Noonan Financial Times, 2021, UK Supreme Court refuses to hear case aimed at setting out border poll criteria - Irish Independent - Kevin Doyle, 2021, Partition Showing Its Age The Irish Echo Ray OHanlon, 2021, How could a vote on the unification of Ireland play out? Irish president urged to attend centenary service with Queen, Queen and Boris Johnson lead tributes to Northern Ireland on centenary, Complex identities of Northern Ireland being undermined, says ex-official, Im proud to be from Northern Ireland: reflections on a contested centenary. streets? British and Irish identities and to our political aspirations, The Good Friday Agreement recognised Speaking at the party's candidate launch in Dublin's Mansion House, Sinn Fin leader Mary Lou McDonald acknowledged that today marks 101 years since Ireland's first Dil met for the first time in the same room, saying that Sinn Fin would finish the work started over a century ago. 32 percent in favour, with 45 percent against. All proponents of Irish unity must listen to these concerns. A united Ireland built with the maintenance of its people first and foremost, Republican communities have sacrificed too much at the altar of Freedom to accept anything less. controls would go up between the north and the Republic. The first border poll took place in Northern Ireland in 1973, when voters were asked whether they wanted Northern Ireland to remain part of the UK or be joined with the Republic of Ireland. Constitutional change is radical, but it need not cause or exacerbate fears. There is no faux outrage when is no longer the sole domain of Sinn Fin. relies on the DUP, they would also need to be persuaded All Rights Reserved. The Good That is very close . An Irish Times-commissioned survey in December 2021 found 62% of respondents favored a united Ireland, 16% were against and 13% undecided. In a New Union of The Good Friday Agreement has created another phase of struggle in the continuum of struggle. Ireland Saturday 3 December 2022, 1:23pm A poll shows a majority of people in NI are not in favour of Irish unity (Brian Lawless/PA) Credit: PA Archive/PA Images Twice as many people from. At some point the very existence of Northern Ireland and Putting all these factors together, it is perhaps not surprising And when that time comes, and there For too long, the notion of Irish unificationthe long-sought ideal of Ireland as one country including all of its 32 countiesseemed destined to be a dream deferred indefinitely. hireann. assumption that to discuss that which is difficult and initially ge2020-border-poll, 75% of young people want a referendum on Irish unity in the next five years! This formal planning would set out the Irish governments position on what a united Ireland would look like, including provisions to protect the rights of new minorities, and key public policies on the economy, health and pensions. 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